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Not Updated since 3/9/2010 5/9/2010  
 
8970
JPN SINGLE RESID REIT (Tokyo)
Daily Commentary

Our system posted a SELL-IF today. The previous BUY recommendation was issued on 08.25.2010 (9) days ago, when the price was 112,200.0000. Since then 8970 has gained 6.15% .

A bearish pattern has developed and a SELL-IF alert is issued today. The task is now to confirm the validity of this bearish pattern. We ask your effort and time. A good starting point is to keep an eye on after-hours trading and futures trading to get preliminary hints about market direction. Related news, events, economic data, and the outlook of the world markets must be closely followed prior to confirmation session.

There are three possible cases of bearish confirmation. You have to follow the session closely to see if these cases will hold or not.

The market opens with a downward gap, signaling a bearish sentiment in the first case. Your benchmark will be the opening price. If the prices stay below the benchmark, sell your shares. Any black candlestick with a downward gap is a valid bearish confirmation criterion.

In the second case, the market opens at a level, equal to or above the previous day’s close. The benchmark is that closing price. If prices during the session stay below the benchmark, sell your shares. Any black candlestick closing below the previous day’s close is the second confirmation criterion.

If, however, in both cases, the prices during the session start going over the benchmark avoid selling.

The third case of confirmation is rarely observed. The market opens with a big upward gap suggesting a very bullish day, and the day ends with a black candlestick, but still closing above the previous day’s close. Such a day satisfies the third confirmation criterion and the closing price of the black candlestick is the benchmark.

If one of the three confirmation criteria is not fulfilled, or in case of a white candlestick or a doji on the confirmation day, the SELL-IF alert remains valid, however, without confirmation and the three confirmation criteria are then sought in the following day. The only exception is the long white candlestick. Any white candlestick following a SELL-IF alert makes the signal void and invalid.

The market looks strong on the short side. So you may continue to carry the existing short positions. If the SELL-IF is confirmed, new short sale positions may be considered.

 
SELL-IF
119100
-400.00 -0.33%
Candlestick Analysis
Today’s Candlestick Patterns:
Black Spinning Top
Bearish Harami
Candlestick Pattern

Today a Black Spinning Top was formed. This represents complete indecision between the bulls and the bears.
For more about this candlestick click here.

The last two candlesticks formed a Bearish Harami Pattern . This is a bearish reversal pattern that marks a potential change in trend. However, its reliability is low and it definitely requires confirmation.
For more about this pattern click here.


 
 
Stock Quote
Day's Close 119100
Previous Close 119500
Previous Open 117400
Change -400.00
% Change -0.33%
Volume 1
 
Stock Activity
Day's Open 119500
Day's High 120900
Day's Low 118900
20-Day Close M.A. 115130
50-Day Close M.A. 116404
65-Day Volume M.A. 1
 

Two-Year Signal History
Date          Price   Signal IDR 100
Became
25.08.10 112,200.0    Buy 684
19.08.10 114,000.0    Sell 684
12.07.10 116,500.0    Buy 699
07.07.10 115,300.0    Sell 699
21.06.10 97,100.0    Buy 589
17.06.10 99,000.0    Sell 589
08.06.10 93,100.0    Buy 554
04.06.10 94,300.0    Sell 554
31.05.10 90,000.0    Buy 529
27.05.10 90,000.0    Sell 529
12.04.10 90,000.0    Buy 529
17.03.10 93,900.0    Sell 529
23.02.10 91,700.0    Buy 516
09.02.10 93,000.0    Sell 516
25.01.10 98,000.0    Buy 544
20.01.10 99,000.0    Sell 544
18.01.10 99,500.0    Buy 547
12.01.10 102,500.0    Sell 547
29.12.09 96,500.0    Buy 515
17.12.09 99,200.0    Sell 515
01.12.09 99,700.0    Buy 517
19.11.09 96,200.0    Sell 517
17.11.09 98,400.0    Buy 529
12.11.09 99,500.0    Sell 529
10.11.09 99,300.0    Buy 528
15.10.09 121,900.0    Sell 528
29.09.09 95,000.0    Buy 412
27.08.09 104,500.0    Sell 412
10.08.09 99,000.0    Buy 390
05.08.09 106,000.0    Sell 390
15.07.09 118,600.0    Buy 436
30.06.09 138,300.0    Sell 436
04.06.09 88,000.0    Buy 278
26.05.09 89,800.0    Sell 278
07.05.09 74,900.0    Buy 232
28.04.09 71,900.0    Sell 232
22.04.09 69,700.0    Buy 224
13.04.09 78,000.0    Sell 224
16.03.09 51,200.0    Buy 147
11.03.09 50,000.0    Sell 147
19.01.09 54,300.0    Buy 160
15.01.09 52,200.0    Sell 160
09.01.09 55,700.0    Buy 171
05.01.09 63,500.0    Sell 171
22.12.08 51,500.0    Buy 138
17.12.08 52,900.0    Sell 138
09.12.08 37,150.0    Buy 97
26.11.08 38,800.0    Sell 97
21.11.08 40,000.0    Buy 100
13.11.08 41,350.0    Sell 100
23.10.08 41,900.0    Buy 102
01.10.08 128,900.0    Sell 102
29.09.08 125,200.0    Buy 99
22.09.08 147,000.0    Sell 99
09.09.08 154,900.0    Buy 104
03.09.08 170,000.0    Sell 104
29.08.08 167,000.0    Buy 102
15.08.08 210,000.0    Sell 102
12.08.08 205,600.0    Buy 100
 
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